West Ham vs Arsenal
Jarrod Bowen has been a consistent contributor for West Ham this season, taking 27 shots in his 12 starts. He has registered at least one shot in 11 of those games and two or more shots in nine. Recently, his shot totals have been 2, 2, 3, and 4. West Ham, as a team, average 14.17 shots per game at home, including 10 against Manchester City. Arsenal, meanwhile, concede an average of 13.17 shots per game overall, which rises to 16.33 on the road. Removing their match against City (where they allowed 33 shots) brings the away average to 13.0.
Bowen has also been active defensively, making 19 tackles this season. He has registered at least one tackle in 10 games and two or more in six. He’ll likely be involved defensively again, helping Wan Bissaka against Martinelli and Calafiori. Last season, Bowen managed two shots and three tackles in West Ham’s 6-0 loss to Arsenal at home.
Using Bet365’s Bet Builder, Bowen to have over 1.5 shots and at least one tackle is priced at 2.05. This bet would have landed in 8 of his 12 games this season (66% hit rate), suggesting fair odds of 1.52. At 2.05, the implied probability is just 48.8%, offering clear value based on his consistent involvement.
- Best Bet: Bowen over 1.5 shots and over 0.5 tackles at 2.05 with Bet365
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